悬浮式深弹拦截线导+声自导鱼雷作战模型研究

Research on the Strategy of Intercepting Wire-guided Torpedo Using Hovering Depth Charge

水面舰艇如何使用悬浮式深弹拦截线导+声自导鱼雷是舰艇防御鱼雷的重要问题之一。通过利用模糊数学知识将鱼雷报警距离分为近、中、远三个模糊区域,建立鱼雷报警距离隶属函数关系,预估鱼雷目标航向、航速等运动要素,最后建立了舰艇使用悬浮式深弹拦截线导+声自导鱼雷策略模型;采用蒙特卡洛法通过计算机仿真,得出了悬浮式深弹在不同参数条件下拦截线导+声自导鱼雷的概率。结果表明:舰艇进行规避机动其拦截概率可达32%～60%。

Determining the strategy how to use hovering depth charge to intercept torpedos is one of the main problems in defend torpedo warfare.First,this paper divides the distance area into near,middle,far three misty districts based on misty mathematics knowledge,synthesize the evaluation quota;second,estimates the torpedo course and speed;third,builds a model of strategy for the surface ship to using hovering depth charge to intrecept wire-guided torpedo,and then uses the Monte-Carlo method to simulate with computer,and brings forward the probability of using.hovering depth charge in different situation.The result shows that：when surface ship evade the torpedo,the successful probability of interception can be about 32%～60%.