人力资本对全要素生产率增长的门槛效应研究

Threshold Effect of Human Capital on TFP Growth:Evidence from China

文章采用门槛模型方法构造非线性面板数据模型,对中国29个省份1990～2007年人力资本与全要素生产率增长之间的关系进行了探索研究。实证结果表明,中国人力资本对全要素生产率增长存在明显的门槛特征,当变量跨越相应的高门槛水平时,人力资本的影响系数较大。那些跨越高门槛水平的省份大多位于东部发达地区,尚未跨越门槛水平的省份则主要位于中部和西部不发达地区。

By using nonlinear panel data model and data of 29 provinces from 1990 to 2007 in China,this paper explores relations between human capital and TFP growth.The result shows that,to some extent,there are clear threshold characteristics between human capital and TFP growth.In provinces with economic indicators beyond a certain threshold value,the effects of human capital on productivity growth are stronger.Such provinces are mainly in the eastern region,while provinces within the low capital effect threshold are usually in the central and western regions.