东亚与美国经贸关系演变与新的发展出路

The Evolution of the Economic and Trade Relations between East Asia and USA and New Development Way

本文从贸易地位、出口商品结构、贸易结合度梳理了东亚与美国经贸关系的演变。结果显示,源于国际分工模式的改变,中美经贸关系逐年紧密,东亚其余经济体与美国经贸紧密度逐年下降,而对东亚区域内部的依赖远超过对美国的依赖。金融危机带来的全球经济格局和结构的重大调整使东亚出口急剧萎缩,而后危机时期发达国家"无就业复苏"和重振制造业的动向,更使东亚须通过内部经济循环寻求新的发展出路。

the paper analyzes the evolution of economic and trade relations between East Asia and U.S.A. The result shows,before the financial crisis,the relation ship between China and U.S.A has been closer,and after that,it seems to decline; while the others has reduced the dependence on U.S.A,and relies much on the Asian regional economy. This evolution stems from the change of international labor division model. The global economic situation and structure adjustment brought by the financial crisis has made the export of the East Asia shrink; ＂no employment recovery＂ and the trend of manufacture development in the developed countries after the crisis will make East Asia face more severe challenge,It is only through the new economic cycles will Asian be able to achieve the trade stability and development.