摘要
充满变化与不确定性的宏观经济面决定了本年度矿业发展形势的多变性和不稳定性。一方面,近半年来油气价格渐趋稳定,贵金属价格持续震荡攀升,贱金属价格跌宕起伏,且中短期内受欧元区主权债务危机等不确定性因素影响,金价仍有上涨空间,贱金属价格将持续震荡下行,但从长期来看,经济向好、美元走弱等因素将主导矿产品价格走势,届时金价将回调,贱金属价格也将回升。另一方面,澳大利亚拟开征"资源超额利润税"、蒙古国停发探矿证,可能是资源民族主义、资源"国有化"趋势抬头的标志,全球矿业可能重回2008年金融危机前"从紧"的态势。
World The changeable and uncertain macro economy results that mining situation is changeable and unstable. On the one hand, in the recent six months, the prices of oil and gas gradually become stable, the prices of precious metal nearly keep a vibrating rising trend, and the prices of base metal variable frequently and significantly. The gold price still would have space for rising and the prices of base metals would continue to drop in vibration trend because of the some uncertainties including the debit crisis in Euro Area in the middle - short term. However, in long term, the resuming economy and devaluation of US dollar and others will determine the trend of mineral prices, that means, the price of gold will fall and the prices of base metals will rise. On the other hand, a number of oncoming policies, such as Resource Super Profits Tax in Australia and stopping granting prospecting licenses in Mongolia, seem to be a landmark that resource nationalism and nationalization come again and the world mining environment is changing from a loose environ- ment to a tight one.
出处
《矿产勘查》
2010年第5期426-430,共5页
Mineral Exploration
关键词
矿业形势
矿产品价格
金属
mining situation
mineral prices
adjustment period