摘要
基于运输风险度量是安全运输决策和应急救援的关键,对危险化学品水路运输风险及其度量进行研究。根据1980年美国交通管理局提出风险估计模型,将危险化学品水路运输风险分为人口风险、环境风险和财产风险三部分。根据事故发生概率和事故后果分别构建了人口风险、环境风险和财产风险的度量模型;最后在统一量纲的基础上,给出了危险化学品水路运输总风险评价模型。
Measurement of transport risk is essential to safe transportation decision-making and emergency rescue.The main goal of this study is to analyze and measure risk of hazardous chemicals transport by water.According to risk assessment model proposed by the U.S.Department of Transportation in 1980,the risk is divided into three parts as population risk,environmental risk and property risk.Models are constructed to measure these three risks.A model of total risk is finally formulated on the basis of the normalized measurement of each risk.
出处
《中国航海》
CSCD
北大核心
2010年第3期78-81,共4页
Navigation of China
基金
上海市重点学科建设项目(S30601)
关键词
水路运输
危险化学品
风险分析
人口
环境
财产
waterway transportation
hazardous chemical
risk analysis
population
environment
property
