应用综合指数法分析2005-2008年武汉市某医院医疗收入

Composite Index Analysis of Service Income in a Hospital of Wuhan City from 2005-2008

目的:分析武汉市某医院收入的构成和影响因素,掌握医院业务发展和收入变化趋势,为医院制定发展战略提供政策建议。方法:应用综合指数法分析2005-2008年武汉市某医院业务量和业务收入构成及其影响因素,用直线回归法预测2009年的业务量和业务收入。结果:2007年比2006年病人数增长5.88%,医院业务收入增加9.01%。用直线回归预测2009年医院门诊门诊服务人次数为1703.47千人次,住院服务人次数为52.03千人次,门诊医疗收入29871.72万元,55829.77万元。结论:应用直线回归法预测的结果比较可靠。

Objective：Due to provide policy suggestions of establishing hospital’s development strategy,this article analyze the composi-tions of hospital income and influence factors,then to master hospital’s service quantity development and income variation trend.Methods：Composite index was applied in a Hainan Province hospital to analyze the compositions and influence factors of services and income.We fore-cast the service quantity and income in 2009 by linear regression method.Results：The number of patients in 2007 rose 5.88% than 2007,and hospital service income increased 9.01%.Hospital outpatient service quantity will reach 1.70million,inpatient number will reach 52.03 thou-sand,outpatient service income will be 0.29billion Yuan and inpatient service income will be 0.56billion Yuan in 2009 by linear regression method.Conclusions：The forecast results of using linear regression method are more reliable.