区域动态效率评价视角的我国高技术产业增长路径研究

Research on the Growth Path of High-tech Industry of China—— A View on Dynamic Efficiencies Evaluation of Regions

本文借助Easterly的理论研究了我国高技术产业增长路径,并采用Malmquist指数进行区域分析以透视形成增长路径的内在原因。研究发现,我国高技术产业正处于第一个"驼峰"由顶峰向低谷下滑的阶段,区域发展的"青黄不接"导致了当前的局面。东部发达地区在初期作为主力军推动了产业的"驼峰"型增长并且攀上了第一个峰顶,不过当前大多数东部地区越过顶峰处于下降通道,发展动力不足。这些地区的高技术产业已经告别了规模驱动的初级阶段,技术创新明显滞后,资源配置、规模效率提高有限,而且技术效率的提升并未与其余因素形成协同效应。中西部欠发达地区大多正处于低谷爬坡上坎阶段,"驼峰型"增长尚未起步,不能成为推动国家高技术产业发展的生力军。

The paper adopts the Easterly＇s theory to study on the growth path of China＇s high-tech industry, and dose regional analysis by Malmquist index to explore the underlying process of the path formation. We found that the China＇s high-tech industry is now in the first ＂hump＂ down from the peak to the trough phase, the ＂gap between two harvests＂ of the regional development leads to the current situation. On the one hand, in the beginning, the eastern region has acted as a major force in promoting the industry＇s ＂hump＂ shape up and climbed the first peak, but now, in most provinces of the eastern regional has passed the peak and walk in downward path, which lack the impetus of the development. The high-tech industries in the region have gone through the initial stage of scale driving, and now they face the lagged technological innovation, the less efficient resource allocation and the low scale efficiency, and the upgrade of technical efficiency does not create synergy with other factors. On the other hand, the central and western region who is in the initial stage not yet start humped growth, which can not become a new force to promote China＇s high-tech industry.