滨州市产业结构的偏离-份额分析

Shift-Share Analysis of Industrial Structure in Binzhou City

根据1993-2008年的统计资料,在分析滨州市产业结构演变特征的基础上,运用偏离-份额分析法,以山东省为参照系,全面剖析了滨州市三次产业结构现状,结果显示:滨州市三次产业发展较为顺利,符合配第-克拉克定理的一般规律,但夕阳产业的比重过大;三次产业的竞争能力相对较强,但第一产业的竞争能力在减弱;第二产业的贡献能力最强,第三产业发展明显不足。针对上述特征提出几点建议。

Based on the statistical data from 1990 to 2006, this paper in foundation of analyzing the characteristic of the third industry structure of Binzhou city, taking Shandong province as reference, adopting shift-share analysis method, analyzes the present condition of the third industrial structure of Binzhou city. The results show that development of the third industry is smooth and it accord with general law of ,but proportion of sunset industry is higher. It is more competitive of the shird industry, but competition of the primary industry is more and more weak. It is the biggest of contribution of the secondary industry, and tertiary industry develops deficient. Finally, it puts forward countermeasures.