浅析后危机时代的国际格局和秩序

The International Set-up and Order in the Post-Financial Crisis Era

金融危机不仅导致全球性经济衰退，而且对国际格局、国际政治、经济发展已经并将继续造成长期而深刻的影响。主要表现为：国际力量对比及大国之间相互关系发生变化；推动了国际秩序、国际制度和国际机制的改革；促进了国际体系内部结构的变化。但是，美国作为唯一超级大国的地位并未发生改变：G20已是发达国家与发展中国家共同讨论应对重大国际问题的主要平台，而G7和“金砖四国”将分别成为两大力量在这个平台中协调立场的核心：欧洲将是多极化发展中的重要力量；中国将长期是发展中国家。未来国际体系的变革过程中，发达国家和发展中国家之间将始终充满着激烈的斗争和较量。

Financial crisis of 2008 has not only brought about the worst economic slump since the end of WWII, but more importantly, has exerted and will have far-reaching and profound influences on intentional set-up, as well as the development of international political and economic relations, prophesying the future development trends of international set-up, international order, international institutions and mechanisms, and even international system.