降低我国烟农种植意愿的因素分析

Determinants on reducing Chinese tobacco peasants' planting willingness

本文利用全国农村固定观察点的调查数据,通过建立二元logit模型,对农户的特征及种植行为展开分析,寻求影响烟农种植意愿的主要因素。结果表明:种植烤烟与第二、三产业的就业相比没有任何竞争优势;非种植业收入所占比例和比较利益是影响烟农种植意愿的重要因素。

This paper analyzes households＇ characteristics and planting behavior,and explores the main determinant of tobacco peasants＇ planting willingness by using country level survey data at rural fixed observation spot in country level. A binary logit model is estimated to analyze their behavior and determinants. It is found that planting flue-cured tobacco has not any competitive advantage in comparison with employment in secondary and tertiary industry. In addition,both non-planting income proportion and comparative advantage are important factors of influencing tobacco peasants＇ planting willingness.