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房地产价格与消费的关系研究——基于财富效应的再检验

房地产价格与消费的关系研究——基于财富效应的再检验
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摘要 以房地产财富效应为分析依据,通过构建模型,分别以我国1991—2007年的年度数据和31个省(市、区)2000—2007年面板数据对我国房地产价格波动与消费关系进行实证检验,分析结果表明中国房地产价格对消费支出是负向抑制影响,而财富效应尚未显现,应不断完善和规范房地产市场,最大限度地降低房地产市场信息不对称程度。 This paper analyzes real estate based on the wealth effect, by constructing models to China's 1991--2007 annual data and 31 provinces (cities, districts)2000--2007 panel data on China's real estate price fluctuations and consumer relations empirical testing. The results of the analysis conclues that the Chi- nese real estate prices on consumer spending curb a negative impact, while the wealth effect has not yet appeared. And it makes relevant policy recommendations.
作者 陶然
出处 《黑龙江对外经贸》 2010年第10期53-55,共3页 Heilongjiang Foreign Economic Relations and Trade
关键词 财富效应 消费支出 房地产价格 可支配收入 wealth effect consumer spending real estate prices disposable income
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参考文献4

  • 1Elliott. J. Walter. Wealth and Wealth Proxies in a Permanent Income Model [ J ]. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1980(3 ) : 509 - 535.
  • 2Skinner, Jonathan. Housing Wealth and Aggregate Saving [ J ]. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 1989 (9) :305 -324.
  • 3Case, Karl E. The Real Estate Cycle and the Economy : Consequences of the Massachusetts Boom of 1984 - 1987 [J]. Urban Studies, 1992(2) : 171 - 183.
  • 4Case K E, Quigley J M, Shiller R J. Comparing wealth effects - the stock market versus the housing market [ R]. NBER Working Paper,2001 (3) :64 -84.

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