我国能源经济效率变动与初始发展水平的关系研究

Study on Relationship between Energy Economic Efficiency and Initial Development Level in China

借鉴区域经济收敛性理论,研究我国能源经济效率变动与初始发展水平的关系。以1991～2008年为研究时段,并采用面板数据固定效应模型进行计量分析,结果显示:1991～2002年我国省际之间的能源经济效率存在显著的收敛趋势,初始经济落后地区的能源经济效率增加速度普遍快于发达地区;2002～2008年能源经济效率变化与经济发展初始水平成正比,发散趋势明显;1991～2008年全时段能源经济效率变化则与经济初始发展水平呈显著负相关关系。研究结果为鼓励和引导各地区充分利用能源效率方面的差异进行合作提供了科学依据。

Referencing convergence theory of regional economic development, this paper analyzes the relationship between changes of China＇s energy economic efficiency and initial level of regional development. Based on panel data （fixed effects） model, the results show that： there was a significant convergence trend of inter-provincial energy economic efficiency in 1991～2002, and the efficiency increased faster in the developing areas than developed areas. However, there was a significantly divergent trends in 2002～2008. The same as the period of 1991～2002, there was a inversely relationship between changes of energy economic efficiency and the initial level of regional development. This study provides a scientific basis for encouraging and guiding inter-provincial cooperation by using the differences of energy efficiency.