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基于ARIMA模型的FreeBSD内核进化预测分析 被引量：1

The FreeBSD Kernel Analysis of the Evolution and Forecast Based on ARIMA Model
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摘要 FreeBSD内核进化有较明显的超线性趋势和内在规律.科学地预测软件进化,找到一种简易又有足够精度的预测方法是管理软件工程的一项重要基础性工作.以FreeBSD的62个内核版本数据作为时间序列,用AR IMA模型建模,并做出FreeBSD进化预测,将预测结果和近期发布的FreeBSD内核进化实际结果进行对比,预测结果令人满意,表明该类模型可以用于FreeBSD进化预测. There are the more visible in the evolution of the ultra-linear trends,as well as obvious intrinsic rules,in the FreeBSD kernel evolution.Predict the software evolution scientifically is an important basic work to management of software engineering,and need an forecasting method with easier to use and having sufficient pricision.To FreeBSD kernel version of the 62 time-series data,using ARIMA modeling and forecasting to make FreeBSD evolution,The forecast results and the recent release of FreeBSD kernel compared the evolution of actual results,the results are satisfactory,that the type of model can be used to predict the evolution of FreeBSD.
作者 许旻鸿 郑巍
机构地区 广东技术师范学院
出处 《湘潭大学自然科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第3期111-115,共5页 Natural Science Journal of Xiangtan University
基金 广东技术师范学院2008年度科研项目(08KJY06)
关键词 FREEBSD ARIMA SPSS 软件进化 软件度量 FreeBSD ARIMA SPSS software evolution software metrics
分类号 TP311.5 [自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论]
  • 相关文献

参考文献7

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二级参考文献10

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共引文献2

同被引文献5

  • 1指数平滑法[OL].http://baike.baidu.com/view/479719.htm2010.12.
  • 2Chinabyte.削减IT成本将推动开源软件增长[OL].http://www.linuxeden.com/html/news/20090806/67227.html2009-08-0.
  • 3KOCHSTEFAN ,SCHNEIDER GEORG. Results from software engineering research into open source development projects using public data. [ Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration ] [OL]. ( 2000 - 06 - 19 ) [ 2007 - 08 - 06 ]. http ://opensouree. mit. edu," papers/koch - os sofware engineering, pdf,.
  • 4张蔚虹,刘立.指数平滑法在销售预算中的应用[J].中国管理信息化,2008,11(2):84-86. 被引量：13
  • 5郑巍,许旻鸿.基于指数平滑模型的linux内核进化预测分析[J].科技管理研究,2010,30(11):60-61. 被引量：1

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湘潭大学自然科学学报
2010年 第3期

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