摘要
运用能值分析方法,以山东省1999~2008年的宏观经济面板数据为核心数据源,对山东省生态经济系统可持续发展情况进行了评价。并以计算结果为数据文件,用SPSS16.0进行了聚类分析。结合两种分析方法明确了山东省生态经济系统可持续性发展的现状、阶段和趋势,得出结论:山东省生态经济发展经历了起步、发展、活跃三个阶段,发展的可持续性现状较差,但多种制约因素正在逐步缓解,可持续发展前景良好。
This article evaluates the sustainability of ecological economy in Shandong with emergy analysis method by using 10 years' macroeconomic panel data.Based on the result,it makes cluster analysis by using SPSS16.0.Combining two methods,it defines the trend and stages of development of ecological economic sustainability in Shandong Province.The results are as follows: eco-economic development of the province experienced three stages of start,development,activity;the development sustainability of the status quo is poor,but a variety of constraints are being eased with good prospects for sustained development.
出处
《软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第10期55-61,共7页
Soft Science
基金
陕西省社会科学基金项目(09E042)
关键词
生态经济系统
可持续发展
能值分析
聚类分析
eco-economy
sustainable development
emergy analysis
cluster analysis