摘要
探讨冲突分析技术的理论框架,在此基础上提出一种基于图示模型的冲突分析方法。决策者从当前局势出发,依据相关决策规则,实施局势转移,分析实际可达到局势以及冲突均衡,并重点关注实现均衡目标相应的最短途径。模型适用于决策者轮流协商、交替决策的冲突事件。并给出一个水资源冲突问题的研究实例。
In this paper,the framework of the traditional technique is introduced and one graph model for conflict resolution is proposed.It is suggested that,starting from the initial state,decision-makers will transit conflict state according to conflict rules and predict the reachable states and available equilibrium,as well as the least-cost transition path.All players are designed to negotiate and make decisions alternatively.Finally,one case study of water resources conflict problem is carried out.
出处
《科技管理研究》
北大核心
2010年第20期231-233,248,共4页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室开放研究基金项目"多元利益主体的区域水资源系统配置模式研究"(2008B045)
关键词
冲突分析
图示模型
局势
均衡
途径
决策
conflict analysis
graph model
state
equilibrium
path
decision-making
