摘要
针对山东省１０多年的经济运行状况，应用时间序列的季节调整方法，从主要经济指标中确定出基准循环指标和日期，制作出先行指标、一致指标和滞后指标，以及描述经济运行强度和变化幅度的扩散指数与合成指数。利用这些指数进行经济运行走势的预测和动态分析。
This paper reviews the economic performance of Shandong in the laor ten years. First, applying the season adjusted method of the time series, the basis cycle index and cycle date is determined from major economic index. Then, the beforehand index, consistent index and delay index are obtained. Finally, the diffuse index and the compose index which describe the running strength and varying range of economic have been designed respectively. Those index can be used to predict and analyze the economic trend.
出处
《系统工程理论方法应用》
1999年第1期67-73,共7页
Systems Engineering Theory·Methodology·Applications
基金
国家自然科学基金
