中国服务贸易与全要素生产率的实证关系研究

An empirical research on relationship between China's trade in service and total factor productivity

伴随着世界经济服务化进程的加快,服务贸易逐渐成为各国重点发展的内容。本文通过构造模型并运用计量分析方法,对1985-2008的数据进行了严格实证研究。计量结果证实了服务贸易对全要素生产率有所贡献,并得出服务出口比进口更有利于提高生产率;服务贸易对生产率的作用受到国内经济结构的影响等结论。

With speedy servicesation of world economy, trade in services has become a very significant field universally focused by countries. This paper is to launch a rigorous analysis by using data from year of 1985 to 2008, by means of constructing models and empirical research methods. First it estimates the total factor productivity （TFP） in China during this period, and then moves on to demonstrate the inherent relationship between TFP and trade in services. Results has confirmed that trade in services is a sound contributor to the increase of TFP, and services exporting is more conducive than importing in this area ; and also come to the conclusion that the role of trade in services on productivity is influenced by the domestic economic structure.