上海市旅游业发展阶段研究

The Analysis on the Stage of the Tourism Industry in Shanghai

近几年上海经济突飞猛进的发展,旅游业发展迅猛,对上海经济的贡献日益显现,文章就上海旅游业的生命周期进行分析,对提高旅游业政策制定的科学性和增强旅游业发展战略的前瞻性具有重要意义。利用lo-gistic回归模型研究旅游业的发展阶段,表明上海正处于发展旅游业的最佳时机。

In recent years, Shanghai＇s economy developped radidly, the development of the tourism industry has been to become more and more important to promote Shanghai＇s economy. This paper analyses the life - cycle of the tourism in Shanghai, it is signifieiant to improve the tourism industry and enhance the scientific nature of the forward - looking strategy. This paper uses the logistic regression model to a- nalysis the development stage of the tourism industry, it shows that Shanghai is in the best time to develop the tourism industry.