改革开放以来中国经济周期波动探析

The Features and Causes of the Fluctuations of Business Cycles in China Since the Economic Reform

改革开放以来,中国经济经历了三次完整的周期波动。本文对改革开放以来我国经济周期波动的特点、经济周期波动的原因及其波动不同阶段的宏观调控政策进行了剖析,在此基础上,预测了未来经济波动趋势并给出相应的政策建议。

Since the Economic Reform in 1978,China has experienced the very intact fluctuations of the business cycle thrice.The features and causes of these fluctuations are discussed,and the analyses of the macro-economic policies associated with the differernt phases of the fluctuations are given in this article.Based on the preceding analyses,finally,the tendencies of the fluctuations are forecast and the economic policies are suggested accordingly.