金融发展与产业结构调整关系的实证研究——基于重庆的协整分析

Co-integration Empirical Study on the Relationship between Financial Development and Industrial Structure of Chongqing

采用重庆市1980—2008年反映金融发展和产业结构升级的指标数据,运用单位根检验、Granger因果检验、协整、误差修正模型等方法进行实证研究,系统分析了重庆市金融发展与产业结构转变的内在联系。结果表明:重庆产业结构升级和金融发展相互之间存在着长期均衡关系,金融相关率对非农产业产值比重的提高有正向促进作用。

This paper analyzes the relationship between financial development and industrial structure of Chongqing by ADF, the Granger causality, the co-integration and ECM empirical methods based on the data from 1980 to 2008. The results indicate that there is long-term co-integration mechanism be- tween the financial development and industrial structure upgrading of Chongqing, and financial development has positive effects on economic growth.