摘要
采用重庆市1980—2008年反映金融发展和产业结构升级的指标数据,运用单位根检验、Granger因果检验、协整、误差修正模型等方法进行实证研究,系统分析了重庆市金融发展与产业结构转变的内在联系。结果表明:重庆产业结构升级和金融发展相互之间存在着长期均衡关系,金融相关率对非农产业产值比重的提高有正向促进作用。
This paper analyzes the relationship between financial development and industrial structure of Chongqing by ADF, the Granger causality, the co-integration and ECM empirical methods based on the data from 1980 to 2008. The results indicate that there is long-term co-integration mechanism be- tween the financial development and industrial structure upgrading of Chongqing, and financial development has positive effects on economic growth.
出处
《重庆理工大学学报(社会科学)》
CAS
2010年第10期36-42,78,共8页
Journal of Chongqing University of Technology(Social Science)
基金
重庆市重点人文社科基地"重庆市劳动经济与人力资源研究中心"资助
关键词
金融发展
产业结构
VAR模型
financial development
industrial structure
Vector Auto Regression (VAR) Model