电动汽车充电设施建设需求预测方法探讨

Discussion on Demand Forecast Method for Electric Vehicle Charging Facilities

电动汽车充电设施建设是满足社会发展需求,建设坚强智能电网的重要内容。介绍了电动汽车充电模式和电动汽车充电设施建设模式,分析了电动汽车充电设施建设应考虑的因素,对电动汽车充电设施需求预测方法进行了初步探讨,包括电动汽车保有量预测、各类车型日均耗电需求预测、电动汽车充电站和充电桩需求预测,并且以江西省为例,得出了适应江西省电动汽车发展要求的充电设施建设需求数量。

Construction of electric vehicle charging facilities is one of significant element of strong smart grid. Electric vehicle charging model and charging facilities construction as well as factors influencing facilities construction are presented in the paper. Also, methods for demand forecast are demonstrated such as electric vehicle population forecast, daily electricity cost prediction, and forecast on charging stations and piles. Scale of charging facilities suiting for Jiangxi Province electric vehicle development is proposed.