7Helfenstein U. Box-Jenkins modelling in medical research [ J ]. Methods Med Res, 1996,5 ( 1 ) :3 - 22.
8Reis BY, Mandl KD. Time series modeling for syndromic surveil- lance [ J ]. BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making,2003, 3:2.
9Daniels ML, Dominici F, Samet JM, et al. Estimating particulate matter mortality dose response curves, threshold levels : an analysis of daily time series for the 20 largest US cities[ J]. Am J Epide- miol,2000,152(5) :397 -406.
10Cardinal M, Rog R, Lamber J. On the application of integer- val- ued time series models for the analysis of disease incidence [ J ]. Stat Med, 1999,18 ( 1 ) :2025 - 2039.