外商直接投资对我国国际服务贸易发展影响的实证分析——基于OLS估计线性回归模型的分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of FDI to International Service Trade in China

近年来,我国服务贸易增长迅速,很多学者提出外商直接投资对服务贸易的发展起着重大的作用。那么这种影响关系有多大?为此,本文从1985—2009年的数据出发,对外商直接投资和服务贸易发展这两个变量建立线性回归模型,结果发现:FDI对我国服务贸易增长起着正向的重要的作用,但并不是全部作用,还有其他因素的影响。它们对我国服务贸易的发展也不可或缺。在模型分析的基础上,提出相关的建议。

As the international service trade increased dramatically in recent year,a lot of scholars suggested that FDI has played a very important role here.However,how much influence is FDI to our international service trade？ We approach this issue by setting an OLS model with statistics from 1985 to 2009 and find that although FDI played a positive and important role in the development of service trade,it was not the sole reason.There were other factors.Based on this analysis,we proposed relative suggestions.