地震人员伤亡快速评估模型研究

Study on the Rapid Evaluation Model for Seismic Casualties

每年地震都会给社会造成巨大人员伤亡,如果震后能迅速预知地震人员伤亡数量,这对挽救生命损失是十分有意义的。统计了近10年来中国大陆数10次强震、中强震灾害损失,根据影响伤亡的主要因素,用线性回归分析法,建立地震人员伤亡快速评估模型,并对模型进行验证,使之可用于地震预警。

Every year,earthquake can result great casualties.If the quantity of casualties will be predict as soon as possible after the earthquake,it is very important for reducing casualties.The authors collect the seismic disaster information for more than ten years about the moderate earthquakes and strong earthquakes,use linear regression analysis to establish the Rapid Evaluation Model by main factors of the casualties and validate the model until it is available for earthquake early warning system.