考虑技术和学习率因素下供应链生产跨国转移策略分析

Tactics of Across-national Production Transfer in Supply Chain under Consideration for Technology and Learning Rate

国内企业为了巩固市场地位和规避市场风险,纷纷走出去在海外投资建厂,建立生产基地,谋求海外发展,以增强其核心竞争能力。在技术转移和学习率影响下,文章考虑生产地所在东道国的不确定性和生产不同技术层次产品的多样性,建立了供应链生产跨国转移的数学模型,给出了模型求解的算法,并对算例进行了分析。结果发现,技术转移率在(0.6,1)和学习率在(0.8,0.95)的区间时,对生产跨国转移最为适宜,并且发现在学习率、通货膨胀率和汇率三个影响因素对基于生产跨国转移的整个供应链利润的影响都是很明显的,其中汇率对利润最敏感,通货膨胀率次之,学习率敏感性最弱。

In order to consolidate market position and avoid market risk,domestic firms make overseas investment or build production bases in foreign countries to strengthen core competitiveness.Under the effects of technology and learning rate,the paper studies the issue of across-national manufacturing transfer by considering the uncertainty of the host country of production base and the diversity of products with different technical levels.It obtains the most appropriate technology transfer rate and learning rate,and finds that,as for the sensitivity to the profits of supply chain based on across-national production transfer among learning rate,inflation rate and exchange rate,exchange rate is the strongest,inflation rate is the second,and learning rate is the weakest.