中国反倾销措施产业救济效应的作用机制和实际效果

Mechanism and Actual Result of Industry Remedy Effect of Anti-dumping Measures in China

本文选取1997年3月至2009年6月中国对外反倾销案例的贸易、投资和产业数据集,以构建微观面板数据模型定量评估反倾销措施通过影响涉案产品的进出口贸易、涉案领域FDI最终作用于国内进口竞争性产业的实际救济效果。结果表明,虽然存在贸易转移效应和投资跨越效应,但反倾销措施对中国进口贸易仍然存在显著的救济作用;而对外实施反倾销措施也极易引发指控对象国的贸易报复,反过来限制中国相关产品的总体出口;总体而言,尽管存在上述正反两方面的影响效应,但最终中国反倾销措施对国内进口竞争性产业确实产生了显著的正面救济效果。在此基础上,本文提出了中国对外实施反倾销措施的制度路径选择与政策建议。

Using data identified in China anti-dumping cases involving products import and export trade and domestic import competitive industry from March 1997 to June 2009 and based on a micro-econometric model,the paper analyzes the remedy effects of anti-dumping actions on its own import and export trade and industry.The results show that anti-dumping measures have a significant role to inhibit our import growth of dumping goods even with trade diversion effect and investment across effect.In addition,anti-dumping also tends to trigger trade retaliation,which in turn limits the export of Chinese products involved.In spite of the positive and the negative impacts mentioned above,anti-dumping measures of China on domestic import-competing industries have significant positive remedy effects.Finally,based on the above conclusions,we discuss anti-dumping approach to dumping import goods and put forward some policy suggestions.