投入产出法价格模型的应用——农产品价格上涨对通货膨胀的影响分析

Application of the Price Model in Input-output Methods:Analysis of the Influence of Price Increase of Agricultural Products on Inflation

由于农产品的生产受季节变动和不规则变动的影响较大,农产品的价格很容易由此而波动,当出现农产品价格上涨时,人们总会担心引起通货膨胀。本文运用投入产出分析模型,并使用1992年和2002年我国投入产出表数据,通过计算分析得出农产品及其相关联的部门产品价格上涨对其他部门产品价格变动影响程度很小,因此不会造成全国整体物价水平的大幅度上涨,不会引起通货膨胀。

Since the seasonal and irregular changes have big influence on the prices of agricultural products,the agricultural products price is fluctuated more easily.When agricultural products price increases,people always worry about inflation.Using the input-output analysis model and China＇s input-output table data in 1992 and in 2002,the paper concludes by calculation that there is small influence of the price increase of agricultural products on the products＇ price of related departments.Thus,it can not cause large increase of the whole national price level,and will not cause inflation either.