农户水稻种植意愿及其影响因素分析——基于湖南资兴320户农户问卷调查

Peasants’ willingness to rice planting and its influential factors:Based on data of Zixing ,Hunan

基于湖南资兴320例农户水稻种植的问卷调查数据,从一般环境因素、家庭环境因素和个人素质因素三个方面,运用多元有序Logistic模型实证分析农户水稻种植意愿的影响因素。结果表明,一般环境因素对水稻种植意愿的影响程度最大,家庭环境因素次之,个人素质因素影响最小。具体来讲,农户对稻谷价格评价、生产资料价格评价和种植补贴评价越满意,其水稻种植意愿越高;家庭种植面积越多、家庭收入等级越高和水稻种植收入占总收入的份额越大,农户水稻种植意愿越高;教育对水稻种植意愿影响的曲线呈倒"U"形。

This paper analyzes the factors about rice planting with multi-order Logistic model, relied on data concerning 320 farmers in Zixing, Hunan. The conclusion is that common environment is the paramount factor, home environment is the less significant factor, and individual state is the lest important factor. In detail, Peasants＇ willingness to rice planting will increase in accordance with the rice price, production material price and plant subsides policy; In addition, it is alsoin conformity with areas of home growing rice, high level of income, and big rate of rice planting in all income; fuctions of education appears a ＂U＂ curve.