后金融危机时代的全球地缘政治变局与中国的机遇

Global Geo-politics Changes in Post-financial Crisis Era and China's Opportunity

源于美国次贷危机的全球金融危机对世界格局产生了深远影响,国际体系正经历着冷战结束以来最大的地缘政治变动。后危机时代,国际体系将发生一系列深刻变化:新兴大国群体崛起,传统大国趋向衰落,国际战略力量分化重组,多极化发展到一个新的阶段;中美力量对比发生此消彼长的重大变化,中美关系将成为今后一个时期全球最重要的双边关系;大国关系趋向缓和,全球和地区地缘对抗色彩淡化;国际秩序酝酿结构性调整,中国面临历史性机遇。

The financial crisis has brought a far-reaching impact on the world configuration.The international system is currently undergoing the greatest geopolitical turbulence since the ending of the Cold War.A series of profound changes will come forth after the crisis.Firstly,new great powers will rise and the old fall,which will cause the international strategic configuration to polarize and regroup.The process of multi-polarization will therefore reach to a new stage.Secondly,Sino-U.S.power balance has undergone a great change and Sino-U.S.relationship will become the most important bi-literal relationship in the world.Thirdly,relationship among big powers will become moderate,and geo-conflicts both globally and regionally less intense.Lastly,a structural adjustment of the international order is coming to forth.As a result,China faces a historical opportunity.