摘要
基于可持续发展理论和复合系统原理,构建三峡库区重庆段水资源承载力多目标优化模型,计算其现状年2008年、水平年(2015、2020、2025、2030年)的水资源承载力,得到水资源能够承载的人口和经济规模。结果表明:多目标优化模型能较好地将影响水资源承载力的各个因子结合起来,系统分析区域水资源承载力;在水平年内,三峡库区重庆段水资源能较好承载其社会经济发展,水环境污染和水资源利用率已成为制约库区水资源承载力提高的重要因素。
Based on the theory of sustainable development and complex systems,a multi-objective optimization model of water resources carrying capacity（WRCC） has been established for Chongqing reach of TGP reservoir area.It is used for the calculation of WRCC values in the current year of 2008 and the target years of 2015,2020,2025 and 2030,the population and economic scale are obtained.The results show that the WRCC level in Chongqing reach of TGP reservoir area can bear the regional socio-economic development,however,water environment pollution and water utilization rate have become the major factors constraining the WRCC in the reservoir area.
出处
《人民长江》
北大核心
2010年第21期35-38,共4页
Yangtze River
基金
重庆农村经济与管理研究中心资助项目和重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学资助项目(03jwsk057)
关键词
水资源承载力
多目标优化模型
三峡库区重庆段
water resources carrying capacity
multi-object optimization model
Chongqing reach of TGP reservoir area
