CO_2交易机制对风电投资决策的影响

Affects of the CO_2 Trading Mechanism on Wind Power Investment Decision-Making

作为国民经济中最大的CO2排放部门,电力行业面临着巨大的减排任务。为了从源头有效控制CO2排放量,风电已逐渐成为许多国家可持续发展战略的重要组成部分。为了促进风电的大力发展,经济激励与政策支持是必不可少的。针对我国现行的风电投资政策,建立了计及CO2交易机制(一种经济激励手段)的风电投资决策模型,该模型还考虑了延迟投资的灵活性。仿真结果表明,该模型能有效地量化CO2交易机制对风电投资决策的影响,从而为风电项目投资提供有益的决策参考。

As the biggest contributor of the CO2 emission,the power industry is facing a tremendous mission to reduce emission.In order to effectively control the CO2 emission from the origin,wind power has become an important part of the strategy of sustainable development in many countries.Financial incentive and policy support are essential to promote the rapid development of the wind power.Based on the current policy on wind power investment in China,taking the CO2 trading mechanism（one kind of the financial incentive means） and the flexibility of delaying investments into consideration,This paper established a decision-making model for the wind power investment.Simulation results indicate that the proposed model can be effectively quantify the effect of the CO2 trading mechanism on the wind power investment decision-making,and provides some useful reference for the investment decision-making.