摘要
为揭示航运市场与造船市场之间的关系,运用谱分析方法,研究海岬型船平均营运收入与新船价格之间的周期波动关系.结果表明,平均营运收入和新船价格的波动周期约3～5年;新船价格的变化比营运收入变化滞后约4个月.
In order to reveal the relationship between shipping market and shipbuilding market, spectral method is used to study the cyclical fluctuating relationship between the average earnings and the new ship price of Capesizes. Results show that the cycle length of fluctuating between average earnings and new ship price is three to five years; the change of new ship price lags about four months behind that of average earnings.
出处
《上海海事大学学报》
北大核心
2010年第3期74-77,共4页
Journal of Shanghai Maritime University
基金
上海市教育委员会科研创新项目(10ZZ101)
上海海事大学重点学科(XR0101)
上海海事大学校基金(2009164)
上海海事大学研究生创新基金(yc2009006)
关键词
航运周期
海岬型船
互谱分析
shipping cycle
Capesize
cross-spectral analysis
