推进剂药柱生产中故障的一维灰色分析

One Dimensional Gray Analysis of the Failures during Solid Propellant Casting

采用灰色系统的理论方法对固体推进剂药柱在生产中的故障频次进行了分析，并建立起抽象系统的动态模型ＧＭ（１，１），预测了药柱故障频次的发展趋势，并对其稳定性进行了定量分析。

Using the theory of gray system,a gray dynamic model of the failure frequency during the manufacture process of solid propellant grain is established.The development tendency of failure frequency is calculated,also the stability of the failure frequency is analyzed quantitatively.