产业承接地评价模型及应用研究——以广东省为例

An Evaluation Model for Industrial Receiver: A Case Study of Guangdong Province

运用区域分析方法,对广东省珠三角经济区以外的各个县区进行综合分析,建立评价指标体系,并运用主成分分析方法确定各指标权重,通过评价模型进行适宜度和优势度评价。结果显示,在珠三角经济区以外的80个县区中,有14个县区为最优产业承接地,另有22个县区适宜承接产业转移,这些地区不仅资源环境条件优越,还具备较好的发展基础。其中粤西地区是优选产业承接地最集中的地区;粤东则是另一集中地,尤其是汕头市,该市除海岛县——南澳外,其余县区均列为优选产业承接地;粤北地区由于生态环境相对脆弱,是三大区域中优选产业承接地比例最低的区域,今后的发展仍应以保护生态环境为主。

The comprehensive industrial receiving capacities of all the counties in Guangdong Province, other than those in the Pearl River Delta Economic Zone, are analyzed in this paper. An evaluation index system is established for that purpose, and principal component analysis method is used to determine the weight of the indexes. Fitness evaluation and dominance evaluation are conducted with the evaluation model to find out the places optimal to industrial receiver parks. The result shows that of the 80 counties studied 14 are in the first level and 22 the second. Those counties not only have excellent resources and environmental conditions, but also have had better economic basis for further growth, so they have better capacities to receive industry transfer from the Pearl River Delta. The western part of Guangdong would be the most concentrated area of industrial receivers, while the eastern part of Guangdong the other, especially Shantou. The northern part of Guangdong might have the lowest proportion of optimal industrial receiver parks due to the relatively fragile ecological environment.