集聚、扩散与FDI空间演化——基于中国省级数据的研究

Agglomeration,Diffusion and FDI Convergence:A Spatial Analysis of Chinese Provincial Panel Data

本文采用空间计量学的方法,在描述我国FDI空间演化轨迹的基础上,建立了一个FDI地区分布决定因素的空间模型,运用1987-2007年的面板数据,分析我国FDI空间演化的规律。计量结果发现,集聚效应对于吸引我国FDI有着很大程度的影响,相邻省份之间的空间溢出效应促使FDI更多的是由核心省份向周边省份扩散。并根据结论提出了引导FDI空间的合理转移,缩小地区差距的政策建议。

Based on spatial econometrics method, this paper firstly explores the track of FDI distribution in China. Then it constructs a Conditional Convergence.Spatial Model to analyze the factors and the extent of FDI convergence by using Chinese provincial panel data during 1987-2007. We find that FDI distribution in China is conditional convergent with spatial interdependence and spatial spiUover effect makes FDI diffuse from the core to the peripheral area. The conclusion also makes some policy implications about how to establish feasible policies for Middle and Weston region to realize FDI spatial convergence.