基于统计分析方法的唐山城市发展研究

Research of Urban Development in Tangshan Based on Statistical Analysis Methods

运用统计分析方法 ,从唐山地区城镇化率的地区差异、城市首位度及相关因素、城市职能三方面着重进行研究,得到三个结论 :(1)城镇化率存在明显地区差异,西北部、中部和南部呈现"山"字形分布;(2)城市规模体系呈明显的首位分布,首位度和二三产业比重有线性关系,并预测2010年唐山地区的首位度约为2.26;(3)城市职能为制造业城市,城市已进入工业化中后期。

Based on historical data and statistical analysis methods, we focus on the three aspects of regional differences in urbanization, the urban primacy index along with the related factors and the urban function in Tangshan, and get the following three conclusions：（1） There are significant regional differences in urbanization and the distribution of north-west, central and south parts are in the shape of Chinese character ＂山 ＂; （2） The city-scale distribution system is obviously urban primacy index which has a linear relationship with the proportion of secondary and tertiary industries and is estimated to be about 2.26 in 2010; （3） Urban function is the manufacture city and Tangshan has entered the intermediate and later period of industrialization.