城乡投资和居民消费的收入效应分析

Analysis on the Revenue Effects of Urban and Rural Investment and Consumption

利用我国31个省、市、自治区2001～2006年的统计数据,建立了面板数据模型,分析了城乡投资和居民消费变化对财政收入增长的影响。研究结果表明,城乡居民消费的财政收入弹性高于投资,其中,城镇固定资产投资的财政收入弹性高于农村,而城镇居民纯收入的财政收入弹性低于农村。

This paper explores the fiscal revenue effects of urban and rural investment and consumption using panel models based on the provincial data from 2001 through 2006.The main conclusions drawn are：the elasticity of fiscal revenue with respect to total retail sales of consumer goods is higher than that with respect to total fixed assets investment;the elasticity of fiscal revenue with respect to disposable income of rural resident is higher than that with respect to urban resident;the elasticity of fiscal revenue with respect to urban fixed assets investment is higher than that with respect to rural fixed assets investment.