摘要
本文采用ARIMA模型以我国财产险的保费收入的预测为例,对数据预处理、模型的选择、识别、估计、检验等过程进行了详细的分析,得出了预测结果报告,并描述了对我国产寿险的保费收入实现自动预测并得到结果报表的思路和方法。
The ARIMA model is utilized to analyze and forecast the property insurance premium income. The model choosing, data preprocessing, identification, estimation and verification are studied and the forecast results report is obtained. The thoughts and method for auto-forecasting of the insurance premium income of China based on the model are discussed
