房价与供求关系的理论分析与中国经验的实证研究

Empirical and Theoretical Analysis on the Relationships between Supply and Demand of Real Estate Price

房地产价格决定着社会和居民的财富,它的波动影响着金融体系的安危,也影响着宏观经济的稳定和发展。房地产的价格很大程度上受居民收入、利率以及土地价格的影响,相对而言居民收入和利率的影响最为明显。同时,居民对房地产的潜在需求和有效需求间的差距较大。目前相关部门应更加关注房地产市场有效需求的规模,并适当调整利率、土地供给等,从而保证房地产市场的稳定发展。

Real estate price determines the wealth of society and residents,and its fluctuation not only has impact on the safety of the financial system,but also affects macroeconomic stability and development.Real estate price is greatly affected by income,interest rates,and land prices,especially income and interest rates.Meanwhile,there is a large gap between real estate potential demand and effective demand.At present,the relevant departments should pay more attention to the scale of real estate effective demand,and appropriately adjust interest rates,land supply,so as to ensure the stable development of real estate market.