生产性服务业崛起背景下鲍莫尔—富克斯假说的再检验——基于中国236个样本城市面板数据的实证分析

Retest of Baumol-Fuchs Hypothesis against the Background of the Rise of Producer Services

在生产性服务业崛起的背景下,通过构建理论模型,并利用中国236个样本城市2003—2007年间面板数据,从理论和实证两个方面检验鲍莫尔—富克斯假说在中国的存在性。研究发现:生产性服务业的崛起对鲍莫尔—富克斯假说形成挑战,改变了服务业比重与整体经济增长速度之间的线性关系;受生产性服务业发展的影响,随着服务业比重提高,二三产业的相对劳动生产率差距在缩小;服务业比重与整体经济增长速度之间呈非线性关系,随着人均GDP的提高,服务业比重与整体经济增长速度之间的负相关关系会弱化。

This paper retests the Baumol-Fuchs Hypothesis against the background of the rise of producer services theoretically and empirically,using the panel data constructed by 236 cities in 2003-2007.The results show that the rise of producer services has changed the linear relationship between the proportion of service industry and the overall economic growth rate.Affected by the impact of the development of producer services,with the increasing of the proportion of service industry,the gap of the relative labor productivity between secondary and tertiary industries is being narrow.The relationship between the service industry and the overall economic growth rate is non-linear.With the increasing of per capita GDP,the negative correlation between the proportion of service industry and the overall economic growth rate will be weak.