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The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes

The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes
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摘要 自从 1949,中国科学家成功地预言了许多主要地震的出现,例如在 1975 的 Haicheng M7.3 事件和 1990 的亚洲比赛村庄吃惊。在里面最近然而,因为几失败,某地震学者国外花了一个失望、悲观的看法到地震预言的 20 年。他们建议努力应该向另外的领域转弯,例如大楼的防地震的能力,房子力量的改进,和将快便于的精确观察系统的开发的鉴定在地点上未来专业定位地震和突现的地势。如此的悲观感情也影响了试图为地震预言放弃努力的地震学上的社区的一些中国研究人员。同时,另外的科学工人在这在实验和惯例正在坚持领域和启发的完成的一些结果。在这份报纸,我们在场说明的几个代表性的盒子地震在一些条件下面是可预言的。 Since 1949, Chinese scientists have successfully predicted occurrence of many major earthquakes, such as the Haicheng MT. 3 event in 1975 and the Asian Game Village shock of 1990. In recent 20 years, however, some seis-mologists abroad have taken a disappointed and pessimistic view to earthquake prediction because of several failures. They suggest that the efforts should turn toward other fields, such as identification of building' s earthquake-proof capability, enhancement of house strength, and development of precise observational systems which will facilitate fast loca- ting of future major temblors and emergent relief on site. Such a pessimistic feeling has also influenced some Chinese researchers of the seismological community who attempted to give up efforts for earthquake prediction. Meanwhile other scientific workers are insisting in experiments and practices in this field and achieved some inspiring results. In this paper, we present several representative cases to illustrate that earthquakes are predictable under some conditions.
机构地区 Institute of Geology
出处 《Engineering Sciences》 EI 2010年第4期2-12,共11页 中国工程科学(英文版)
关键词 地震预报 大地震 地震预测 中国科学家 科学工作者 海城地震 地震活动 抗震能力 Wenchuan Earthquake strong earthquake prediction generating fault for major earthquake
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