政府经营主导下的内外需逆关联效应及其综合治理——基于扩大消费视角的分析

An Analysis of the Adverse Effect on Domestic and Overseas Demand under the Government Leading and the Comprehensive Management:from the Perspective of Consumption Expanding

政府经营主导下的经济具有国家集中经营、供给主导、消费保障、需求有限满足、市场不相容、国际贸易不和谐和转嫁过剩危机的特征,极易出现内外需逆关联效应,即促出口的目标不能实现反而形成抑出口;促内需的目标不能实现反而出现压内需。有必要借鉴治水的原理,在投资疏导方面实施积极的"排水"投资战略,在社会保障方面实施积极的"保水"防护战略,在消费疏导方面实施积极的"吸水"消费战略,在海外疏导方面实施积极的"通水"贸易战略。

The Government-led economy features centralized operation, supply leading, consumption protection, limited demand satisfaction, incompatibility with market, disharmony in international business and overproduction transferring, which is likely to result in the adverse effect on both domestic demand and overseas demand, rather than the increase and promotion of domestic demand and overseas demand. Therefore, by reference of water-controlling principals, it is necessary to carry out, borrowing ideas from flood control, ＂drainage＂ strategy in investment, ＂water-retention＂ strategy in social security, and ＂water-absorption＂ strategy in consumption, and ＂discharge＂ strategy in overseas trading.