家庭人口学特征与农户消费增长--基于八省微观面板数据的实证分析

The Demographic Characters of Rural Households and Increasing Rate of Farmer Consumption: Evidence from Eight Provinces in China

文章利用来自中国8个省份的微观面板数据,在控制农户异质性后,分析农户人口学特征对于其人均消费增长率的影响。研究发现:(1)农户的消费行为和严格的PIH/LCH假说并不吻合,收入变化和财富对于消费变化具有显著的影响;但农户消费行为也显示出部分生命周期消费平滑的特征;(2)家庭规模对于农户的消费增长率具有显著的负面影响,家庭小型化有利于提高农户的消费增长率;(3)家庭成员平均年龄或户主年龄的变化对农户消费增长率并无显著影响,家庭女性成员比例的增加对农户消费增长具有轻微的负向影响。

By using a micro-panel database from eight provinces in China,this paper analyzes the impacts of demographic factors on rural household's growth rate of consumption per capita.The main findings are:(1)the consumer behavior of peasant households is not accord with strict PIH/LCH hypothesis,and income variation and wealth have significant influence on consumption changes.The behavior also shows the smooth of part of life cycle consumption.(2)the family size makes significant influence on peasant's consumption growth rate,and its miniaturization is helpful to improve the consumption growth.(3)the mean age of family members and the age of householders have no significant influence on consumption growth,but the proportion of female family members shows slightly negative influence.