利益博弈视角下我国房地产泡沫问题研究

On the Real Estate Froth from the Angle of Benefit Gambling

房地产市场之所以出现严重的泡沫,关键在于土地市场的单边垄断,而这又和中央政府及地方政府的利益密切相关,由于中央政府和地方政府在房地产业的利益分配上存在着竞争关系,所以构建房地产业中央政府和地方政府的利益博弈模型是理解房地产泡沫的关键。分析表明,加大对地方政府官僚的惩戒力度及控制中央政府不受约束的税收权力是抑制房地产泡沫的关键。

The reason that the real estate market presents the serious froth,the key lies in the unilateral monopoly of land market,which is closely related to the benefits of central authorities and local authority.Because the central authorities and the local authority have the competition relations in the benefit assignment of real estate industry,therefore,constructing benefit gambling model of central authorities and local authority is the key to understand the real estate froth.Strengthening the local residents＇ the disciplinary punishment to local government and controlling central authorities＇ tax revenue authority without constrains are the key to suppress the real estate froth.