博弈论视角下的可持续发展问题研究

Research on Sustainable Development Issue in the Vision of Game Theory

可持续发展是属于外部不经济的"公共地"问题。从历史上看,造成目前一系列全球环境问题的主要责任在发达国家,所以,在可持续发展问题上,国际社会形成了"共同但有区别"的责任分摊原则。通过博弈模型分析发现,目前发达国家与发展中国家之所以谈判一再陷入僵局,是因为双方合作还缺乏适当的条件和机制,可持续发展问题的妥善解决,至少需要三个先决条件,但目前还没有一个条件已经满足。

Sustainable development issue belongs to external non-economical common land.From the viewpoint of history,main responsibility for present series of global environment problem should be taken by developed countries.Therefore,on sustainable development issue,international society has formed a principle of ＂common but different＂ responsibility-sharing rule.By game theory model,it is found that the reason why the negotiation between developed countries and developing ones reaches a deadlock again and again is short of proper conditions or mechanism to co-operate.There are at least three prerequisites to solve sustainable development issues,none of which has been met so far.