东亚生产网络减少了区域对外部市场的依赖吗——基于二维分散生产理论的分析

Dose the Development of East Asia Production Network Decrease the Dependence on the External Market——Analysis Based on Two-dimensional Fragmentation Theory

依据二维分散生产理论框架,研究了东亚生产网络的内在机制,考察了东亚生产网络中各经济体的相互贸易联系。研究发现,东亚生产网络的出现和发展改变了东亚地区的贸易模式,引致了东亚各国和经济体相互之间贸易的放大效应;但是,随着各国之间生产和贸易联系的日益紧密,美国、欧盟等外部市场对东亚的重要性并没有降低,东亚贸易增长和经济发展依然需要很强的外部动力支撑。

Based on the framework of two-dimensional fragmentation theory,this paper studies the inner mechanism of Asia production network,and the linkages of trade relationship among the economies.It concludes that the development of Asia production network changes the trade pattern of East Asia,leading to magnificence effect on trade;in spite of the increase of trade and investment linkages of the countries,the importance of US and EU does not decrease,and the development of economy and trade in East Asia still needs external dynamics.