基于多元线性回归的地下水开采可靠度模型

Reliability Analysis of Groundwater Exploitation Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model

针对各种不确定性因素直接影响地下水资源评价结果的可靠性问题,基于多元线性回归模型的统计分析,以地下水开采可靠度为核心,提出了基于多元线性回归模型的地下水开采可靠性分析方法,结合传统多元回归分析与现代工程可靠性分析实现了基于多元线性回归的可靠度分析,并以淮北市地下水开采为例进行了计算分析。结果表明,该方法简单、实用、可行。

There are many uncertainty factors which affected the reliability of the result in groundwater resources evaluation,so it is necessary to analyze its reliability.On the basis of statistical analysis of multiple linear regression model,this paper presents an approach of ground water exploitation reliability.Combination of traditional multiple regression and modern engineering reliability is applied to realize reliability analysis based on multiple regression analysis.Taking the reliability of groundwater exploitation in Huaibei city for an example,the results show that the proposed method is simple,feasible and practical.