归纳悖论的方法论研究探纲

The Methodological Research of Inductive Paradoxes

通过考察确证悖论、绿蓝悖论和彩票悖论的演进过程,揭示它们是一个有着内在逻辑-历史关联的悖论家族,是信念合理接受难题家族在不同层面的具体展现;在对三大悖论构成要素进行分析的基础上,指认归纳悖论语用的知识论悖论本体地位,并明确界说归纳悖论;指出了当前归纳悖论研究的整体趋向。

By investigating the evolving process of confirmation paradox,grue paradox and lottery paradox,it can be found that the three paradoxes are the logical-historical related members of a paradox family and that they are actually the emergence of a belief rational acceptance puzzle on different levels.On the basis of analyzing elements of the three paradoxes,it is shown that inductive paradoxes are epistemological ones,and the inductive paradox is defined uniquely.Finaly,the trends of inductive paradox research are discussed.