2005～2020年中国能源需求情景及碳排放国际比较研究

本文以2005年为基期,对我国2015年与2010年一次能源需求以及碳排放进行了预测。在此基础上,与美国、日本、英国、欧盟等国家和地区以及世界平均水平1971年～2005年期间的碳排放进行了比较。研究表明中国人均二氧化碳排放量远远低于发达国家,如果与日本相比,尚有50年的差距。

This paper forecasts China＇s primary energy demand and carbon emissions in the year of 2015 and 2020 with taking the year of 2005 as the base year. On this basis, it makes the comparison with the United States, Japan and the United Kingdom, the European Union and other countries and regions, as well as the world average in the carbon emissions during 1971 -2005. Research shows that China＇s per capita carbon dioxide emission is far below that of developed countries. If China compares with Japan in levels of per capita, there are still 50 years gap.