摘要
本文基于河北省宏观经济、银行业、保险业等部门的指标数据,利用系统方程模型,构建了衡量区域金融稳定状况的金融稳定指数,并以河北省为例,对河北省金融稳定状况进行了评估和预测。结果表明:河北省经济金融发展状况总体良好,但保险市场秩序仍比较混乱,发展相对不成熟,在一定程度上与实体经济存在差距;未来三年河北省总体状态稳定。
Based on indicator data in macro-economy,banking and insurance sectors of He Bei province,the paper utilizes system function model to construct financial stability index which is used to evaluate the status of regional financial stability.Moreover,it takes He Bei province as an example to assess and predicate the financial stability status of He Bei.The result shows that He Bei maintains a favorable economic and financial status in all,but the insurance market is somewhat in disorder and relatively immature,and falls behind the real economy.The overall status of He Bei will maintain stable in next three years.
出处
《上海金融》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第1期107-112,共6页
Shanghai Finance
关键词
系统模型
金融稳定指数
预警
System Model
Financial Stability Index
Early Warning
